An omen for 2013? |
The sky was overcast in
my city on New Year’s day. That’s surely
the sign of a disappointing 2013. On the
other hand, maybe things start off dark and lighten up as time goes on: an in
like a lion, out like lamb sort of thing.
There were other dark
indicators, including a cold, a lost job and a broken vacuum. The dog was scratching nonstop. Must be signs pointing toward a disappointing
year. On the other hand, the weather was
warmer than normal; the checkbook still has a positive balance. Those are good omens, right?
It’s hard to read the
indications when they are so mixed.
That didn’t stop me from
trying or anyone else for that matter.
We all do it. We look at daily
events, in the skies, in random events, hoping to see some indication of what
the future holds. It’s human nature.
A successful hunt |
The cave drawings in
France reflect that. Thousands of years
old, they often depict successful future hunts, letting the gods know what
these early humans wanted. In essence, they
created omens. In later cultures, like
the Romans, priests dutifully searched the blood entrails of animals for hints
of divine messages. We weren’t sending
then: we were receiving.
Predictions are the
natural result of trying to read omens. If they are read correctly, then we can see the
future.
Astrology was created
for just that purpose: to see our future in the stars. No matter that it’s absolute nonsense,
completely refuted by science. Famed
astrologers had no better success than amateurs. For example, Nostradamus, the 1500s seer
whose name still means predictive success, was paid well to cast horoscopes for
wealthy clients. Too bad for his
reputation that some of his charts have survived. They were invariably wrong.
Roman emperors relied on
astrology. So did medieval popes. At least one American
president, Ronald Reagan, endorsed it.
Tarot cards |
If you don’t like to
study the stars, there are also tarot cards, which supposedly provide the clues
to the viewer’s fate. Palm readers make
the same claim. I remember one telling
my mother than she would marry and have two children – unaware of course that
she was already married and had four sons.
The idea that somehow we
can divine the future underlines the constantly failed predictions of the end
of the world. After all, don’t we have a
holy book that supposedly contains all information? The future must be in there somewhere.
The Bible Code was built
on that premise. Letters could be lined
up to show such past events as the atomic bomb.
Unfortunately, when the same effort was applied to the future, the code
bombed. Besides, investigators soon
showed that the same results could be achieved using any other novel.
Reading tea leaves is a
hit-or-miss proposition. So is sniffing
nutmeg, Nostradamus’ preferred method.
Today’s psychics have no
better success rate. While one or two
occasionally score a hit – make enough predictions, and one of them is likely
to happen – their forecasts rarely match up with reality. Scientists have the same problem. In a book of predictions released in the
1970s and covering the next 30 years, only one scientist actually made a
correct call – he predicted personal computers.
No one else in the large book -- scholar, scientist or psychic -- came
even close to predicting actual events.
Namath |
Despite the obvious
failures, we continue to look at the signs – real or imaginary -- on a regular
basis: the eventual winner of a big game; a stock that is sure to rise;
tomorrow’s weather; and so on. Such
claims are based on facts. That still
doesn’t mean they will actually occur. A
prediction of a victory, such as Joe Namath’s prideful and ultimately correct boast that his Jets
would beat the mighty Baltimore Colts in the 1969 Super Bowl, sticks in our memory because such predictions
rarely come true.
The truth is that the
future is unknown. What happens today
may or may not be a guide for tomorrow.
That’s because situations change.
Predictions are based on our world staying on the same course, but
that’s not reality. As a result,
weathermen are often wrong. A Louisville
football team can upset the mighty Florida Gators, despite all the obvious signs that was impossible.
I saw that first hand
after asking a Unitarian congregation I regularly address to make predictions
for the coming year. I saved the
predictions for two years and then spoke to the members again. Of all the predictions – and people chose
obvious things like a cruise already paid for or the planned marriage of a
child – only one came true. The rest
were wrong: illness blocked the cruise; the happy couple separated etc.
The correct one, a mild
one about a parishioner moving to another housing facility, occurred, although
the timing was off. I suggested that the
person who actually predicted her future should go out and buy a lottery
ticket. She did; it wasn’t a winner.
A successful prediction
was not an omen for a more positive future.
Nothing is. Dark clouds are just
that. They don’t given an indication of
the future any more than Mayan calendars do.
Long-time
religious historian Bill Lazarus regularly writes about religion and religious
history. He also speaks at various
religious organizations throughout Florida.
You can reach him at www.williamplazarus.net. He is the author of the famed Unauthorized
Biography of Nostradamus; The Last Testament of Simon Peter; The Gospel Truth: Where Did the Gospel
Writers Get Their Information; Noel:
The Lore and Tradition of Christmas Carols; and Dummies Guide to Comparative
Religion. His books are available on Amazon.com,
Kindle, bookstores and via various publishers.
He can also be followed on Twitter.
You
can enroll in his on-line class, Comparative Religion for Dummies, at
http://www.udemy.com/comparative-religion-for-dummies/?promote=1
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